Opening Passage

For those looking for a comprehensive introduction to what Thwink.org has to offer, here is the opening passage to Analytical Activism:

"The goal of the modern environmental movement is to change the course of civilization to one that is environmentally sustainable. In the early stages of the movement, the 1960s, 70s, and some of the 80s, this goal looked attainable, as problem after problem was solved. Clean air and water acts were passed in nation after nation. Pollution was fought as if it was a demon. Governments became so committed to environmentalism that most industrialized nations created an environmental agency, charged with the task of preserving and protecting the nation’s environment forever. An international agency to encourage environmental stewardship at the global level, the United Nations Environmental Programme, was created as a result of the Stockholm Conference of 1972.

"In the beginning these efforts worked. Law after law was passed at the national level to solve problem after problem. At the international level, treaty after treaty brought nations together to preserve and protect the biosphere as a unified whole. The air, the rivers, the oceans, even the land became cleaner. Dramatic success was the norm. Visions of victory danced through the heads of those who sought to make it all happen.

"But starting in the 1980s something changed, and that vision was soon shattered. Environmentalists are now waking up to the sober realization that they were not solving the total problem—what the Club of Rome calls the complete problematique. Instead, they were only solving the easy problems first, by picking the low hanging fruit. The hard problems, such as climate change, topsoil loss, natural resource depletion, deforestation, and abnormally high rates of species extinction, remain as unsolved as ever.

"Then in 2001, when the George W. Bush administration ascended to power in the United States, things grew even worse. The sole remaining economic and military superpower was now fiercely opposed to solving environmental problems of all types. It began moving aggressively to undermine and even reverse much of the progress that had been made, sending many in the environmental movement into an apoplexy of helpless doom and gloom.

"What went wrong? How can the environmental movement find its way again?

The Five Invisible Traps

"Like the mighty beasts that could not escape the tar pits once the first paw went in, the environmental movement is stuck. It cannot pull itself free from its present strongly held paradigm, the one it is using to solve the sustainability problem. The reason this has occurred is environmentalists have fallen into not one but five invisible traps.

"The first is the unconscious assumption that the normal processes we use to solve everyday problems, either at home or at work, will also work on this problem. But because the global environmental sustainability problem is actually what’s known as a complex social system problem, this assumption leads to attempting to solve the problem with the wrong process, which fails. Simple processes will not solve complex problems.

"The second trap is that because of the wrong process, there is little realization that the change resistance or social side of the problem is the crux. Instead, problem solvers are pounding away furiously at the technical side. In others words, they are solving the wrong problem.

"This leads to the third trap. As a result of the blind spot of not seeing that the social side of the problem is the crux, there has been no deep analysis of why there is such stiff, prolonged resistance to adopting a solution. Lack of such an analysis has led to failure to uncover the existence of the fundamental social structure that lies at the heart of the social side of the problem. This invisible structure has a name: The Dueling Loops of the Political Powerplace. And it has an exploiter: the New Dominant Life Form, more commonly known as the modern corporation and its allies. This structure appears to be the reason for such strong change resistance.

"The fourth trap is that if you can’t see structures like this, then you can’t see where to 'push' on the system to solve the problem. Instead, you must make educated guesses, which causes the most intuitively attractive system points to be pushed. But this is a trap, because those ever-so-attractive points are low leverage points. Environmentalists simply do not have the force (numbers, money, and influence) to make pushing on low leverage points work. They must find the system’s high leverage points and push there instead.

"Finally, pulling the beast even deeper into the tar pit is the fifth and biggest trap of them all. The same characteristics of problems that make them attract attention first also make them easier to solve, like local pollution. This creates the seductive illusion that the right process is being used, because the process works at first. Then when it begins to fail on the more difficult problems, such as climate change, it is not at all obvious what went wrong. The natural reaction is to try the same thing all the harder, which is the same way the dinosaurs, mammoths, and saber toothed tigers reacted. For them, and for even the mightiest of environmentalists, the end result is always the same. The fiercer the struggle, the more entangling the tar, and no beast is so strong or so skillful but that he ultimately sinks.

"There is, however, a better way.

"That better way is human system engineering, using the process of Analytical Activism. Understanding what Analytical Activism is and why it’s a better way begins with this line of reasoning:"

Above is the opening to a book in progress, Analytical Activism. The Introduction to the New Paradigm and Part One are the best possible overall in-depth introduction to the work at Thwink.org. Read them and see if you agree with the thesis of the book:

1. The environmental movement has lost its way because it is using an inappropriate problem solving process, called Classic Activism.

2. Use of the wrong process has caused the movement to "push" on low leverage points. This dooms even brilliant and heroic effort to failure.

3. It follows that if the movement would switch to an appropriate problem solving process, such as Analytical Activism, it could solve the sustainability problem by finding the right high leverage points and how to push on them correctly.

The Introduction to the New Paradigm is only 7 pages long. It begins with the above passage and is available here.

Part One is three chapters long and runs only 37 pages. It is available here.

Image credits: The mural of the La Brea tar pits is by C. R. Knight, as published in The Mythical Man Month, by Fred Brooks, 1975.

The Dueling Loops

The most popular page on the site by a factor of 3. This paper presents a simple model showing why activists have been unable to solve the sustainability problem, and an alternative solution strategy based on high leverage points.

The Phenomenon of Change Resistance

This is the key concept that starts people thwinking, and causes them to explore the rest of the site. The concept is subtle, but has the potential to change the sustainability problem from insolvable to solvable.

The Powell Memo

The most eye popping short read (7 pages) on the site, if you have never heard about it. The memo was written in 1971.

The Dueling Loops Videos

These average 8 minutes. They give a quick introduction to the Dueling Loops model and how it explains the tremendous change resistance to solving the sustainability problem.

 

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