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Hypothesis

A hypothesis is a proposition of cause and effect. A scientific hypothesis must be a testable hypothesis. Hypotheses that cannot be tested, such as cause and effect attributed to a supernatural being or an invisible fifth dimension that cannot be detected, are not part of science. They are pseudo science.

A hypothesis that is widely accepted but has never been tested is known as folklore, conventional wisdom, tradition, and so forth. Because it has never been tested, there is a good chance that it is wrong, either totally or partially. It is this class of untested hypotheses that the environmental movement is now basing all of its solution strategies on, because there is still no proof that the process of Classic Activism will solve the sustainability problem.

A scientific hypothesis is accepted when sufficient experimental evidence supporting it is accumulated. No hypothesis can ever be proven with 100% certainty. Thus the wise practitioner is always a little skeptical about all knowledge.

For more see the wikipedia entry on hypothesis.

 

Dueling Loops Paper

The most popular page on the site. This paper presents a simple model showing why activists have been unable to solve the sustainability problem, and an alternative solution strategy based on high leverage points.

A Little Story about Corporate Dominance and the Occupy Movement

Here's what one reader wrote us about this article:

"This is the most lucid, focused, analysis of the economic quandary of the nation that I have seen. It exposes the indisputable root cause of the widening gap between the goals of people and the goals of for-profit corporations, and demonstrates how those respective goals are mutually exclusive. It does not condemn corporations but offers a solution for refocusing them toward the general goals of people. I urge each member to go over this analysis - it is not long or boring - and challenge it if you think you can."

Change Resistance Paper

This explains why the crux of the sustainability problem is change resistance, rather than what conventional wisdom thinks it is. That's why the problem has remained unsolved for over 30 years. The paper describes a high leverage point that's never been pushed on before that can solve the change resistance problem.

Common Property Rights

This book summarizes all the work at Thwink.org. This includes the System Improvement Process, a rigorous analysis of the complete sustainability problem, and 12 sample solution elements.

The Powell Memo

The most eye popping short read (7 pages) on the site, if you have never heard about it. The memo was written in 1971.

Dueling Loops Videos

These average 8 minutes. They give a quick introduction to the Dueling Loops model and how it explains the tremendous change resistance to solving the sustainability problem.
 

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